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    Share Market Highlights 28 February 2025: Massacre on D-Road; Sensex plunges 1.9% to 73,198, Nifty settles under 22,150

    Jefferies On Crompton Cons

    Purchase Name, Goal Worth Rs480

    Of their Analyst Meet, Crompton Mgmt Mentioned New Launches & Innovation Forward Of Summer season, Esp In Followers Vertical

    Premium Followers Are Rising At 2.5x Of Non-Premium

    This Vertical Is Now ~25% Premium Vs 12-15%, 5 Yrs In the past

    Co Has Taken 4-5 Tranches Of Worth Rises 1.0-1.5% Every In Previous 5-6 Quarters

    This Summer season, Mgmt Expects Double-Digit Development In Prem & BLDC Followers, & Single-digit In Mass Class

    Est FY24-27 EPS CAGR At +22%; FY26 PE At 32x

    MS On Crompton Cons

    Underweight, Goal Worth Rs352

    Crompton Launches Nucleus, An Superior BLDC Platform

    Launches Xtech, An Superior Induction Motor Platform, To Strengthen Its Followers Portfoli.

    Focus Stays On Increasing Premium Share In Total Income Combine

    Premium Followers Are Rising ~2x Quicker Than The Avg Fan Market Development Fee

    Crompton targets To Enhance Premiumisation Share To 40% Of Total Portfolio

    Nomura On Crompton Cons

    Purchase Name, Goal Worth Rs447

    Co Just lately Unveiled Its Two Reducing-Edge Platforms, Nucleus & Xtech

    Goals At Driving Power Effectivity & Sensible Tech Integration In Shopper Electricals House

    Mgmt Highlights That New Platforms Are Very Scalable

    A lot Extra Sturdy On Electronics & Extra Environment friendly Than Friends

    Co Can Supply A lot Larger Guarantee To Clients Than Friends

    Worth Hikes & Working Leverage Ought to Drive EBITDA Margin From 11% In FY25 To 12.2% By FY27F

    Main To A Wholesome 22% EPS CAGR

    Nuvama on Crompton Cons

    Keep Purchase, TP Rs500 

    The corporate reiterated that it’s monitoring effectively on its Crompton 2.0 technique i 

    Specializing in-industry-leading PAT progress, arresting the decline within the lighting market; and and turning round Butterfly. 

    Goals to seize a bigger share of the premium followers market 

    The {industry}’s BEE2.0 transition (in Jan-26) shall present additional market share achieve alternatives for Crompton 

    Off to begin for summer time season 

    Firm is evaluating three–4 new classes for photo voltaic pumps 

    Butterfly Gandhimati rejig has been accomplished with a brand new crew in place and purpose is to attain mid-teens progress

    Nuvama on Coal India

    Coal India Arm, Northern Coalfields, Broadcasts Levy Of ‘Singrauli Punarasthapan Cost’ Of Rs300/t On Its Total Quantity From Might 1, 2025

    Money Influx Is Seemingly To Be Broadly Used To Fund The Upcoming Land Acquisition Rehabilitation Programme

    At One Of The Mining Areas In Singrauli Over Subsequent Few Yrs

    This Levy Would Lead To A Surge In Coal India FY26/27 EBITDA By 9-10%

    Est Capex Of Rs170 bn In Every Of FY26/27 Largely Incorporates Upcoming Capex On Rehabilitation Proj Of The Singrauli Space

    Assuming 5x EV/EBITDA A number of, The Honest Worth Can Enhance By Rs34/sh

    MS On Coal India

    Obese Name, Goal Worth Rs525/sh

    Coal India Introduces A “Singrauli Punarasthapan Cost” Of Rs300/t Throughout All Mines Of Northern Coalfields w.e.f Might 1, 2025

    Per Co,This Will Drive Anticipated Further Income Of Rs38.8 bn

    See This Is As A Optimistic Dvptt, As Levy Is 2.5% Of FY26 Income

    Implies 8% Upside Danger To FY26 Earnings Estimate

    Key To Watch Would Be If Co Is Ready To Take Worth Hikes Over &

    Co Presently Forecasting 2% Development In FSA Realisations

    JPM on Coal India

    Keep Impartial, TP at 420 (from 395) 

    FSA worth hike announcement-a optimistic shock 

    Coal India anticipates extra income of Rs 3880cr 

    FY26-27 EBIDTA to rise by 8-10% 

    Worth hike announcement partially addresses headwinds 

    Headwinds are from softening worldwide thermal coal costs (and e-auction premium), market-share loss to captives, weaker manufacturing progress & evacuation (rake motion).

    CLSA on Bajaj Auto

    O-P, TP Rs 9473

    Due to this fact, BJAUT expects its ICE quantity to develop forward of the {industry}, which might translate into double-digit income progress, other than the e2W quantity progress of 20-30%

    BJAUT highlighted that export volumes are on a restoration path 

    CLSA on Energy Financiers

    Anticipate Cos to extend their provision protection ratio on discoms in 4Q25, however it needs to be vary certain

    Proceed to be comfy with asset high quality 

    KSK Mahanadi write-backs are anticipated in coming quarters

    Jefferies On Jubilant

    Purchase Name, Rs1,000/sh

    Be Daring” Theme Underscored Development Mindset

    Tech Is Touching Total Co, With Retailer, AI Rising As A Differentiator

    Latest Double-digit SSS Development Was Fueled By Improvements

    Whereas Margin Steering Might Fall Brief Of Some Expectations

    Stay Excited About Development Agenda

    Mgmt Believes This Is Simply The Begin, Margin Ought to Comply with Development

    MS on Jubilant Meals

    OW, TP Rs 781

    Jubilant Meals Mgmt Showcases How They capitalise On Tech Enterprise

    From Sourcing To Provide Chain, From Community Enlargement To Retailer Efficienc

    From App Administration To Supply To Shopper

    Like Pivot To Constructing Platforms To Safe Larger Development

    Jefferies On Coforge

    Purchase Name, Goal Worth Rs10,100/sh

    Submit Latest 22% Fall, Coforge’s Inventory Is Buying and selling At An Engaging 33x FY26 P/E

    Led By Robust Prime-Line Development, Enchancment In Working Margin & b/s Deleveraging

    Constant Income Development Out-Efficiency Is Seemingly

    To Proceed, Given Robust Order E book & Constant Execution

    Coforge Stays Excessive-conviction Choose Inside Indian IT

    Investec on Life Insurance coverage

    Improve ICICI Pru Life to Purchase from Maintain, TP at 725 

    Improve to resulting from valuation consolation

    Majority of the headwinds are within the rearview – readability on taxation, palatable give up worth tweaks, and softening of aggressive depth from unlisted gamers. 

    Anticipate listed personal life insurers to ship VNB progress of 13-16% over FY25E-FY28E. 

    Present valuations are engaging (implied VNB progress expectations of simply 5%-12% over the subsequent 10Y). 

    Listed personal life insurers have additionally delivered wholesome return on capital (17%-28% over the previous ~20 years)

    UBS on OMCs

    Crude in mid $70s signifies wholesome built-in margins 

    Excessive crude premiums and slender gentle heavy spreads to affect profitablity (Restricted disruption) 

    LPGs under-recoveries proceed 

    HPCL most levered for presidency grant 

    IOCL-Keep Purchase, TP 180 

    BPCL-Keep Purchase, TP 365 

    HPCL-Keep Purchase, TP 430

    Jefferies on Apollo Hospitals

    Keep Purchase, TP 7900 

    Sustainability of 5-7% ARPOB progress for Apollo in gentle of recent mattress additions within the sector is a key debate. 

    ARPOB issues are unwarranted as mattress additions for organised gamers are ~2% of their present capability 

    Additions will solely be in a phased method over 3-5 years. 

    Apollo has sustained 8.3% ARPOB CAGRover FY11-20 regardless of a number of headwinds 

    Alert-ARPOB means Common Income Per Mattress

    Jefferies on Actual Property

    Provide catchup to help vols 

    Resi markets have began CY25 with worth gross sales up 10%+; after a ~5% worth progress in previous 6-mths. 

    Provide declined 19% YoY in 2H24; with elections in base, anticipate rising provide in 2025. 

    Revival of mid-segment launches and nonetheless low vols in a number of cities vs. earlier cycle ought to help demand. 

    Realty shares are buying and selling under common NAVs and up to date promoter shopping for from open market alerts confidence in underlying enterprise. 

    Want DLF, Godrej Properties and Lodha

    UBS on Thermax

    Provoke Purchase, TP Rs 4100

    A diversified & sustainable power options supplier

    Worthwhile publicity to an increasing industrial power effectivity market

    Forecasts 25% earnings CAGR between FY24-FY27E & 27% FY27E RoCE

    Capital allocation is essential

    HSBC On HDFC AMC

    Maintain Name, Goal Worth Rs4,350/sh

    HDFC AMC’s Inventory Return Has Outperformed Its Friends YTD On Again Of Mkt Share Good points In Most Of Its Massive Schemes

    In A Cyclical Downturn, See Excessive Draw back Dangers To Our AUM & EPS Development Est; Stay Cautious

    Valuations Seems Punchy For A Muted EPS CAGR Of 11% Over FY25-27

    HSBC On Car Finance

    Relative To Segments Like Microfinance Or Hsg Fin, see Manageable, & Fewer, Headwinds To EPS In This House

    Car Financiers Stay En Route To Ship Comparatively Secure EPS Development & Profitability Over FY25-27

    Sundaram Dwelling Fin & Cholamandalam Fin Stay Most well-liked, However Stay Constructive On M&M Fin Too

    Chola Fin – Purchase Name, Goal Worth Raises to Rs1,610/sh From Rs1,510/sh

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